Friday, Sep 3rd, 2010

Joseph Stiglitz on the left turn in Latin America and the privatization of Iraq

I think we live in a different world than we lived in the 1980s. In the 1980s the CIA could get away with change of regimes that it didn’t like in other countries. We are in a different world, and we are in a world in which that kind of strategy risks backfiring. And it happened in Venezuela: after the US attempted coup, Chavez’s electoral vote increased markedly, and I think it’s partly because countries don’t like the US coming in and changing their government from the outside. No matter where it is, in general it’s not welcome

By Matt Kennard on Tuesday, April 27th, 2010 - 1,575 words.

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In today’s globalization debate, the insider-turned-whistleblower par excellence is Professor Joseph Stiglitz, currently professor of economics and political science at Columbia University in New York, and prolific author of popular books on the International Monetary Fund, World Bank, and other agents of global economic policy.

His knowledge of these institutions comes from the eight years he served at the heart of the Washington establishment through the Clinton era as the Chairman of Council of Economic Advisers from 1992, and, from 1996, Chief Economist at the World Bank itself.

At the end of 1999 he quit his position at the World Bank in acrimonious circumstances and turned his attention to exposing what he saw as the corruption of its development goals by a fundamentalist economic philosophy variously called the Washington Consensus or neo-liberalism.

The seminal book of the period, and bed time reading for the burgeoning ‘anti-globalization movement’, was Stiglitz’s account of what he had seen at his time at the World Bank. “Globalization and It’s Discontents” delineates the take over of the Bretton Woods institutions – the IMF, World Bank – by the purveyors of a fundamentalism, which through financial liberalization, privatization and monetarism sought to mould the economies of the world, from Latin American to Africa, in its image.
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MK: I read recently that you are going to advise the government of Paraguay…

JS: I’m going to go down there for the inauguration and I’ll talking to a number of people in the government, yes.

MK: Do you welcome the move to the left, in terms of the new democratically elected governments in Latin America?

JS: I think what is clear is that the previous policies – what you might call the Washington Consensus policies, neoliberalism, whatever you want to call them – didn’t work, either in terms of economic growth, or even more in terms of reducing poverty, sharing benefits of what growth occurred. So those policies failed. I think that there are obvious examples of countries that have been much more successful, the countries of East Asia, all of those countries took a very different stance than the neoliberalism, they took a strong government role and most of them put a heavy emphasis on policies to reduce poverty and maintain a certain modicum of equality. So one is obviously much more hopeful, we’ve seen the failures of one side and one has to be hopeful about the other side.

MK: Neoliberalism is often criticized, but is there any legacy that will help Latin America, or is it all negative?

JS: Well, the Washington Consensus policies were a mix of policies – it was a long list – and in the long list there were policies that were appropriate for some countries at some times. The problem was that there was a one-size-fits-all, that the same recipe was pushed on all countries. For instance, one set of policies that I think I am somewhat sympathetic to if it is not overdone, is obviously that countries have to live within their means. Zimbabwe shows what happens if you spend much more than your income, there are budget constraints and you have to be aware of the budget constraints.

Part of the problem with IMF is that its budget accounting is often very bad. So the principle of living within your means, of increasing domestic savings, of governments borrowing only for investment projects, all those are some principles, but one of the problems with the IMF, with the Washington Consensus, is that even when some of the principles might under circumstances make a lot of sense, the way they were implemented were often flawed.

MK: Do you support the policies being implemented by Hugo Chavez and Evo Morales?

JS: Again it’s the same kind of thing; there are lots of different policies. One of the things they did that makes a lot of sense is renegotiate the contracts. It was clear that the previous governments had really given away the natural resources under terms that were disadvantageous to the people of those countries. And we say in economics, There was a lot of money on the table; they succeeded in renegotiating so there’s a lot more money on the table for the people of Bolivia and Venezuela, that made a lot of sense.

Now, the notion that you would want to invest more in education and health also makes a lot of sense. What we don’t yet know is the extent to which they will be able to succeed in doing what the previous governments failed, which was to provide a broad basis for development. You need education and health, but some things take longer, and we don’t know the answer to that yet.

MK: And in terms of the supranational institutions you’re talking about promoting what’s called neoliberalism, do you think there is a realisation within those institutions that these policies don’t work anymore, or is there a hardcore select that believe that is still works…

JS: Well first these are large organizations with different people with different views, so these are not monolithic, but they often push a particular set of ideas even when there are differences of views within them. The second thing is that at least officially these institutions have recognized some of the limits of the Washington Consensus policies: they recognize that they pay too little attention to problems of equity distribution, they recognize that capital market liberalization often does not lead to greater stability.

There are more caveats in their advice than they had previously given. The World Bank is now much more aware of the problems of privatizations, and that if it is done poorly it can set the government back.

So I would feel quite strongly that the in World Bank, and to some extent the IMF, there is an awareness of limitations of some earlier advice. There are still I would say on balance more confidence in those policies than I think the evidence warrants.

MK: Outside of the economic realm, politically the Bush administration, it has been uncovered by various journalists, was behind the coup attempt against Chavez in 2002, and the administration has been trying to destabilize Bolivia. Do you think the American elite is going to allow these governments to pursue a different economic path? People say they’ve taken their eye off the ball in Iraq, and that they will soon turn back to Latin America…

JS: I think we live in a different world than we lived in the 1980s. In the 1980s the CIA could get away with change of regimes that it didn’t like in other countries. We are in a different world, and we are in a world in which that kind of strategy risks backfiring. And it happened in Venezuela: after the US attempted coup, Chavez’s electoral vote increased markedly, and I think it’s partly because countries don’t like the US coming in and changing their government from the outside. No matter where it is, in general it’s not welcome.

It would be foolish of the US to do this.

MK: To turn to Iraq quickly. You’re saying that the institutions are realising that the Washington Consensus policies aren’t working, but can you talk about the economic system being imposed on Iraq, because there is a flat tax there, there’s all this publicity about the oil contracts given to Western countries. Can you talk quickly about this…

JS: Well I think one of the last attempts to impose neoliberal doctrines was in Iraq. After the World Bank had abandoned these ideas, the Bush administration was pushing it in Iraq: instant liberalization, instant privatization, even if it was against international law we tried to push it. It’s played a role in the difficulty of recovery.

Interestingly, in the book I tell the story of how I got some calls from Iraq where USAID was trying to create a framework of small business loans, get some small business started, and US Treasury was using its usual tight monetary policy, trying to stifle investment, and stifle growth. So the kinds of policies that led to disaster in Latin America and elsewhere are being imposed in Iraq.

I think one of the big, big worries is that the privatizations will not have legitimacy and without legitimacy they may be reversed, and if there is worry about them being reversed it will undermine investment, it will make it more likely that the privatizations will not have the beneficial affect that was hoped, and there will be asset stripping rather than wealth creation, so I think it was a very foolish thing to do.

MK: And in terms of US policies towards Iraq and Latin America, people outside the US wonder how different the Democrats and Republicans are…

JS: It’s glass hall-full, half-empty. The fact is that one side is really seeking to pull out of Iraq and will do everything it can within reason, maintaining stability and so forth, to do it. The other side says there is nothing wrong with our occupation. There is a very fundamental difference in the way the two parties look at the situation.

MK: There was a recent article in the Guardian by Naomi Klein that said that Obama is a Chicago Boy, you don’t think that?

JS: From what he has said I believe he is not at all a Chicago Boy. He has recognized – he has said this in some of his speeches – that he wants regulation, financial market regulation. I believe he is very much a centrist and that will mean many of us will like to see more reform.

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4 Comments

  1. I have often read Professor Stiglitz with respect and admiration, however this time I have to disagree.
    First of all when one hears that president Chávez is somehow a better than the presidents that came before him because he reviewed and changed the terms in the oil industry, one can't help but being shocked, because he's currently doing the same that all the previous administrations did before him. Our Petroleum minister Mr Ramirez was just last week in Washington flirting with the American oil industry in order to get them back to invest in Venezuela.

  2. Deals like the one that Chevron Texaco and Repsol have recently signed in Venezuela have very much the same conditions that previous administrations have granted. The companies get to hire 40% of the staff (from abroad), in case of legal problems this are to be settled by arbitration in Sweden, nobody knows about on conditions of use of technologies applied to extract the oil, as these things are secret…
    And just yesterday Venezuelans found out that Venezuela "sold" 20billions US$ of oil to China. Payable in 10 years, with oil. Barrel price ranging from 27 to 43US$, this is a secret. This on many aspects is a crappy deal, first and foremost because this is strictly forbidden in our nation’s constitution to take debt to be paid in the future with oil. Then of course the low price of the sale. Venezuela will have to ship 200,000 barrels a day to China for 10 years. It doesn't take genius to see that oil prices will be above 85US$ in the near future and who knows how much higher in a couple of years.

  3. The saddest part of all this is that Venezuelans suspect that this will be used to pay for the campaign to make sure that Chávez gets a majority in Congress. The left here in Venezuela were very critical in the past of policies that lead to debt and the deals that gave away our natural resources, I guess they forgot all that…

  4. I really found your blog helpful. Although I know some about the topic, I haven’t ever come across the information that you wrote about. Thanks for your post.

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Matt Kennard
26
London

Matt Kennard graduated from the Journalism School at Columbia University as a Toni Stabile Investigative scholar in 2008. He now works for the Financial Times in London. He has written for the Guardian, Salon, The Comment Factory and the Chicago Tribune, amongst others. In 2006 he won the Guardian Student Feature Writer of the Year Award



mattkennard@thecommentfactory.com
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